2016 Home Run Derby Odds

Loaded HR Derby field lines up to stop Stanton

New rules and a charismatic winner restored the allure of the Home Run Derby last year. Will San Diego receive a similar spectacle tonight?

Eight of baseball’s biggest sluggers, including Giancarlo Stanton and defending champ Todd Frazier, are prepared to batter Petco Park beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET. According to handicappers, place your wager on the strongest swatter of them all. Online sports book Bovada.lv gives Stanton odds of +260 to snag the hardware, while Mark Trumbo (+450) and hometown representative Wil Myers (+550) also factor into the mix.

On Thursday, MLB announced the eight participants for the 2016 Home Run Derby with a talented field headlined by reigning champion Todd Frazier and current home run leader Mark Trumbo. The derby, which will take place Monday at Petco Park in San Diego, will follow the bracket format that was implemented last year. Home Run Derby 2016 Results: Giancarlo Stanton Wins MLB All-Star Game Event. By July 11, 2016 Share. Link Chain Icon Twitter. Click for Home Run Derby odds. A band of powerful dudes head to the Petco Park this Monday as Mark Trumbo, Giancarlo Stanton, and six others sluggers vie for the 2016 Home Run Derby. Following the success of last year’s Derby won by Todd Frazier, fans expect more fireworks this time. With that said, let’s now look at the Derby’s favorites, sleepers, and a long shot. 2016 MLB Home Run Derby. Pick the 2016 Home Run Derby Champion. Giancarlo Stanton Mark Trumbo Todd Frazier Wil Myers Adam Duvall Carlos Gonzalez Robinson Cano Corey Seager. Longest home run of the night will be by which player? Giancarlo Stanton Mark Trumbo Todd Frazier Wil Myers Adam Duvall Carlos Gonzalez Robinson Cano Corey Seager.

2016 Home Run Derby Odds For Today

There’s no question that the favorite is heating up at exactly the right moment. Stanton boasts five dingers in his last 20-odd at-bats, having produced a pair of multi-homer efforts vs. the Mets over the weekend. He’s participating in just his second derby, and 2011 victor Robinson Cano (+1000) won’t be a pushover in the first round. Look for Miami’s right fielder to down the Seattle stalwart, though, potentially setting up a terrific duel with the No. 1 seed.

If Trumbo takes care of business vs. the Dodgers’ Corey Seager (+900), the AL leader in clouts stands to confront Stanton before the finals. Baltimore’s cleanup hitter doesn’t deliver as many tape-measure shots as his potential adversary – which could help from an endurance perspective. Still, we’re radically opposed to the idea of a championship matchup that excludes Big Foot.

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The other side of the bracket also contains a lot of intrigue. Frankly, the Myers-Adam Duvall (+600) survivor can pack up his equipment in a hurry. That’s because Frazier’s chances of repeating (+500) are criminally undervalued at the moment. Not only will the offensive leader of the White Sox defeat Carlos Gonzalez (+800) and Myers/Duvall, he’ll push Stanton to the limit.

Again, we reiterate the importance of pacing. Stanton’s the undeniable choice to enrapture the crowd. Nevertheless, we endorse Frazier’s overall demeanor and recent track record.

HOME RUN DERBY FREE PICK: TODD FRAZIER +500

The two-year bracket format for the MLB Home Run Derby might lend itself to an improbable champion, if Todd Frazier’s triumph in 2015 is any indication.

The Miami Marlins’ Giancarlo Stanton and the Baltimore Orioles’ Mark Trumbo top the Home Run Derby odds board at +300 and +375, respectively, at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com for Monday’s showdown at PETCO Park in San Diego.

It’s easy to see why. Players get an additional minute on top of their allotted five minutes if they hit two home runs that travel farther than 420 feet. Ten of Stanton’s 20 homers this season have traveled farther than 420 feet, and Trumbo also has 10 that have met that threshold. The two sluggers could potentially meet in the semifinal.

Wil Myers, of the hometown San Diego Padres, is listed at +550. The aforementioned Frazier is at +600, along with the Cincinnati Reds’ Adam Duvall, with the Seattle Mariners’ Robinson Cano (+1000), Colorado Rockies’ Carlos Gonzalez (+800) and Los Angeles Dodgers’ Corey Seager (+900) trailing on that baseball betting prop.

The timing rules make the Derby an endurance contest. And, of course, PETCO Park is MLB’s third most extreme pitcher-friendly stadium (according to parkfactors.com) thanks to its distant power alleys and the heavy sea air. However, an average of 2.24 HR/game have been hit there this season, in line with the National League’s 2.20 average.

As the MLB home run leader and top seed, Trumbo is the -175 favorite in his quarter-final against Seager, who is listed at +145. For whatever it is worth, Trumbo has only one home run in 12 career games at PETCO, but Seager has yet to homer in 49 career times at bat in San Diego.

Stanton has a -175 line to defeat Cano, who is listed at +135, in their matchup. Stanton’s average true distance of 421.8 feet on his homers is the longest of any player with at least 15 homers this season. Cano could have an edge in stamina, which helped win the Home Run Derby in 2011.

Myers, owing to the home-park factor, is listed at -150 against Duvall at +110. Myers has actually been beastlier at PETCO, with a 1.036 home OPS vs. .706 on the road. Duvall, a first-time all-star, will have to adapt from his hitter-friendly confines in Cincinnati.

The second-seeded Frazier is a mild -140 favorite against even-money Gonzalez. Back-to-back champions are rare; Yoenis Cespedes did it in 2013-14, but he was the first since Ken Griffey Jr. in 1998-99. Gonzalez averages 420.9 feet on his homers, second among players with at least 15. However, he has only six home runs in 192 career at-bats at PETCO Park.

2016 Home Run Derby Odds 2019

The players are seeded based on their home run totals through July 6.